2024 Republican Debates The Second GOP Debate Could Be Smaller, With Or Without Trump Six of the eight candidates from the first debate appear set to qualify for the Sept. 27 event.

FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.

FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.

The vanguard of American conservatism is Florida — at least, according to its governor. The state is on “the front lines in the battle for freedom,” Gov. Ron De… ...

Now, we know from a fairly robust body of research that as a country’s population ages, there is generally a significant and negative impact on overall economic growth. A 2016 paper from the ...

ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court.

Before we reveal the best- and worst-rated pollsters, let’s start with our regular review of polling accuracy overall. We analyzed virtually all polls conducted in the final 21 days 1 before ...

The Details Longtime readers of FiveThirtyEight are probably familiar with our pollster ratings: letter grades that we assign to pollsters based on their histor… ...

2024 Election Do Americans Like Donald Trump, Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis? We’re tracking the favorability ratings of declared — and potential — 2024 presidential candidates.

Debt Ceiling Which Republicans Could Vote For A Debt Ceiling Increase? A look at the GOP Senate and House caucuses ahead of 2023’s key legislative fight.

With this, former President Gerald Ford announced in March 1980 that he would not make a late entrance into the Republican presidential nomination race after long teasing a potential bid. For ...

For fun: 2011 Giants: 8.5 point underdogs in divisional round to team they lost to in regular season; a win would send them to San Francisco 2022 Giants: 7.5 point underdogs in divisional round to ...